Tuesday, March 18, 2008

MARCH 18 2008 UPDATE

McCain is growing in both his general popularity for the national election and his likeability rating, which, according to both Gallup and RasmussenReports, is now higher than Obama's and Clinton's. Most importantly he has gained strongly in the Rust Belt, with Rasmussen giving him an advantage in Michigan and Ohio, and poll after poll giving him an advantage in Pennsylvania.
Obama has been tumbling in the polls, mostly thanks to his association with the now-infamous Rev. Wright. Interesting to see how polls go over the next week- he issued a lengthy adress on race in an attempt to diffuse the flight of white voters away from his campaign.
Florida has become even more of a lockup for Republicans, with six straight polls handing it easily to McCain in a matchup against Obama and five out of six giving it to the Mac against Clinton.
Though Clinton has regained her footing and, according to RealClearPolitics, is beating McCain nationally, the red state map continues to expand if she is the nominee- the Pacific Northwest, Wisconsin, Michigan, PA and New Hampshire all have swung into McCains camp, and McCain holds onto Nevada, Colorado and Iowa, states which have been favoring Obama in a general election matchup.

No comments: